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Posts Tagged ‘Commodities’

Progress is being made down in Peru between Chinese miner Shougang Hierro and the workers who have been protesting for weeks now against unfair wages and treatment by their Chinese owners. Nothing new… for the record, there are few international companies which invest in the Peruvian mining industry and thereafter roll out the red carpet for their workers. It’s mining, not investment banking…

The 1200 striking workers have begin working again according to manager Julio Ortiz, who said they returned to work because the company said it would commit to some of the workers demands.

Currently workers earn a salary of 1,770 ($614) Peruvian soles a month and the company has released a statement saying Shougang is willing to raise the daily salary by 5.50, or 165 soles a month—bringing the new total to 1935 soles ($677).

According to this Reuters article (in Spanish), Shougang earned a solid 417 million soles last year ($144.7 million dollars), a increase over the year before of 50%.

All in all, it seems Shougang won this battle… CSA will continue to bring you updates on this matter in the weeks to come.

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Newswire: Jim Rogers

“I don’t see any adequate-supply situation in any commodity market over the next decade or two,” Rogers, the chairman of Singapore-based Rogers Holdings, said today in an interview in New York. “The commodities boom is not over and the bull market has several years to go.”

“I own some cotton,” Rogers said. “I own some sugar,” he said. “Sugar will go much, much higher over the course of the bull market.”

“Oil could reach between $150 and $200 a barrel,” because known reserves of crude are declining, Rogers said. He said international relations, particularly between the U.S. and Iran, will help guide prices.

“Natural gas is very cheap,” he said in the interview between sessions at an ETF Securities Ltd. investor conference.

Commodities ‘Best Place’

“Commodities are the best place to be, if you ask me, based on supply and demand,” Rogers said. He said he hasn’t invested in equities outside of China in two years.

“Everything has gone through the roof,” Rogers said of equities prices, adding that he may consider buying stocks “if something collapses.”

Click here to read the complete Bloomberg article

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commodities

China Nurtures Futures Markets in Bid to Sway Commodity Prices – WSJ

ZHENGZHOU, China — Chinese leaders are concerned that their nation’s enormous economic expansion is becoming an excuse for foreign suppliers to inflate commodity costs. So, they hope to use their three futures exchanges to fight back.

“It is true we have a long-term goal of increasing our influence in terms of pricing, but to do that we have to create conditions and do it step by step,” Jiang Yang, chief futures-industry policy maker and assistant chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, said in an interview. “But as the Westerners say: ‘Rome was not built in a day.’

But Beijing believes hosting big futures markets will enhance the country’s economic security by essentially advertising what the world’s biggest customer for some commodities considers a fair price. For the rest of the world, the exchanges could mean less guesswork about China’s buying habits, possibly reducing volatility in the global market.

Silver Lining: Jim Rogers Talks Up Commodities – Time Magazine

Jim Rogers’ daughters may not have been born with silver spoons in their mouths, but they’ve got them now. Not silver spoons, exactly, but silver bullion. “My little girls don’t own stocks — they own commodities,” he says, “and that’s why they’ll be able to take care of me in retirement.”

Rogers sees three big secular trends now, and he’s acting on all of them. First, America’s role as the dominant economic power is declining, so why own American stocks? (He doesn’t.) Second, China is emerging, and even though it may have crises from time to time, it is a good place to invest. (He does.) Third — and this is the biggie — emerging nations including China are greatly increasing the future demand for commodities such as oil. (He’s in with both feet.)

“Thirty years ago, 3 billion people were not even participating in the world economy, and now they are trying to live like we do,” he notes. That emerging megaforce, says Rogers, will put a supertight squeeze on commodity prices across the board, from beef to bullion.

Oil Climbs Above $73, Nat. Gas Rallies as Equities Fly High – Rigzone

Jumping toward $74 a barrel on an American holiday, crude oil rallied more than $1 from last week’s closing price, bolstered by a weaker dollar and a rise in the equities market. Also gaining today, natural gas closed 12 cents below $5 as the energy commodity continues to strengthen despite bearish fundamentals.

After rallying to an intra-day high of $73.84, the price of crude oil settled slightly lower to $73.27 on the NYMEX Monday, a gain of $1.50 from Friday’s close. Additionally, the US dollar eased against a basket of foreign currencies, helping to spur a rally in today’s commodity prices.

China Iron Ore Imports Exceed Real Demand, CISA Says – Bloomberg via Chinamining.org

Iron ore imports by China, the world’s largest buyer, have exceeded real demand by 50 million metric tons this year, the country’s steel association said.

China’s iron ore imports surged to a record this year, hurting the group’s bid to negotiate a contract price cut bigger than the 33 percent offered by Rio Tinto Group and BHP Billiton Ltd. The nation is looking at cutting the number of licensed importers, industry minister Li Yizhong reiterated today.

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CSALOGOWelcome to the CSA of WorldPress.  I apologize if you are a first time reader and you happen to stumble upon some posts which have yet to be scanned for mistakes which may have occured when transferring the content of this blog.

Categories are still be updated / organized so that they reflect the tags, previously found on the previous host of CSA.

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The Economist has just published a new article about China’s abundant and ever more precious rare earth metals. This adds to a flurry or articles, which have recently made it into major English language publications here in the US and Canada—including the Wall Street Journal, Market Watch and the Canadian Business Week.

The value of global rare-earth trade last year was just $1.25 billion, and it is projected to grow to about $3 billion by 2015—not much by most accords. However, the metals in question are absolutely essential for many high tech industries because of their phosphorescent and magnetic properties.

Rare earth metals include terbium, dysprosium, yttrium, thulium, lutetium, neodymium, europium, cerium, and lanthanum. These metals, as described by The Columbia Encyclopedia usually occur together in minerals as their oxides ( rare earths ) and are somewhat difficult to separate because of their chemical similarity.

The state-controlled Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Rare-Earth Hi-Tech Company dominates production of “rare earth metals” in China. Alistair Stephens of Arafura Resources in Australia, explains, “the Chinese realized the strategic importance of rare earths decades before the West.”

Producing the latest flat screen TV’s, smart phones, wine turbines, solar panels and even electric batteries which power America’s new Chevy Volt (battery powered car), are all simply not possible without these rare earth metals.

I am not one to doubt the incredible potential of the free market system, but in this particular situation, Deng Xiaoping was wise not to trust in the free market to dictate his “rare earth metals” policy in the 80’s.

As commodity prices fell in the mid 80’s, rare earth producers in the United States and Canada were priced out of the market. Deng Xiaoping, the man associated with introducing markets in China, instead encouraged the development of mines in the mid-1980s as prices fell dramatically.

Rare earth metals may not generate as much revenue as oil does for Saudi Arabia or Russia, but it is clear if China chokes off supply and begins consuming more of their rare earth metals domestically, the developed world will need to find new sources.

Additional articles on rare earth metals:

Will China Tighten ‘Rare Earth’ Grip? – The Wall Street Journal

Rare earths are vital; and China owns them all – Market Watch

Rare-earth metals: The new China syndrome – The Canadian Business Week

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Words of wisdom, as usual, from my man Jim Rogers.

“Protectionism is getting worse and worse. I’m terribly worried about because protectionism lead to the Great Depression… I’m worried about a lot of things. A 50% rise in 6-9 months is something to worry about. You usually have corrections after that.

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BEIJING — World Bank President Robert Zoellick said he is talking to Chinese government officials about cooperating on investments in Africa, which he said could help boost the continent’s economic growth.

Mr. Zoellick told reporters Wednesday during a visit to the Chinese capital that China Investment Corp., the nation’s sovereign-wealth fund, has expressed interest in investing in the World Bank’s recently launched asset management company, which invests private-sector funds into places like sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America.

World Bank President Robert Zoellick
On Wed, stated he will press Group of 20
for more aid to developing countries [WSJ]

“CIC expressed interest in this as a commercial investment vehicle, but obviously there is no decision yet on their part,” Mr. Zoellick said. Other sovereign-wealth funds and pension funds are also interested in the new investment vehicle, he said, which manages some $4 billion in funds.

Click here to read J.R. Wu and Andrew Batson’s complete article at the WSJ

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Xinhua news reports,

China has become a “privileged partner of Latin America,” and the region needs to define a joint strategy to develop its ties with China, an official of the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) said Wednesday.

The “post- (economic) crisis will find a bigger and more important China than the one it has been in the world economy,” said Osvaldo Rosales, ECLAC’s director for international trade and integration.

Citing the World Trade Organization’s report on Tuesday that China had displaced Germany in the first half of 2009 as a leading exporter, Rosales observed that “this has been reflected in its (China’s) growing relative presence in the world’s trade, mainly in Latin America.”

“The numbers of destinations and exporters show that China has become a privileged partner of Latin America,” Rosales told Xinhua in an interview.

This was because the Chinese government had “already defined the strategy for Latin America in its white book,” Rosales explained, adding that the region needed to do the same.

Regarding bilateral trade relations, Rosales worried about Latin America’s export structure, which focused on a few products and natural resources. He called for a diversification of the export basket.

“Latin America is in some ways linked with China, the world economy’s engine of the 21st century, but it is doing that with an export structure from the 20th century,” Rosales observed.

Click here to read the full story from Xinhua

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Chinese oil conglomerates China National Petroleum and Cnooc have offered to pay an estimated $17 billion usd for all of Repsol YPF’s state in its Argentine unit called YPF.

You can read the Wall Street Journal’s paraphrased article (the original costs money) at thestreet.com, by visiting this article.

Will this deal actually be completed? China South America reported on this possible deal back on July 7, 2009. You will notice, the offer at this point was only $14.5 billion for a 75% stake. China has since upped the offer and is now looking to buy the entire thing.

Why China? Are you angry over Australia rejecting your Rio bid? Are you feeling flustered that countries from the industrialized world, but also in Africa and Latin America are starting to think twice about selling the rights to their raw materials?

I don’t blame them, after all, Australia is quite similar to South American commodity producing countries. Two note worthy and simple similarities include

  1. A large portion of GDP is generated from commodity exports
  2. The relative strength or weakness of domestic currencies such as the Ausie Dollar, Argentine Peso, Peruvian Sol and Brazilian Real, are all inherently linked to the global market price of the commodities the countries export. [ie: if the spot price for copper drops 50%, observe what happens to Peru and Chile’s Peso’s.

According to the WSJ article, the main obstacles to this deal include

  • Spain is hesitant to see some of its best assets in Argentina be sold to China
  • Argentina’s government has no financial stake in YPF, but nonetheless under Argentine law has the right to veto decisions such as transfer of ownership. In my personal opinion, this translates into who is willing to pay more “under the table” to the Argentine government.
  • China National Petroleum and Cnooc are state owned organizations. Despite their growing influence and presence in oil markets around the world, many governments still remain weary of doing business with companies officially tied to a foreign government.

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Chile’s central bank lowered interest rates to record lows today. This
is the country’s latest effort to stimulate a slowing economy which is
heavily dependent on global prices and demand for its commodity
exports.

Not good news for a country like Chile. Copper demand (its primary
commodity export) looks set to slow in the upcoming months as demand
from China wanes, which until recently had been stockpiling resources.
This seems to be over and now one of Chile’s primary buyers is
sitting on mountains of unused copper. Once again, not good for
Chile, Peru or any other countries that sell their metals to China.

Bloomberg reports:

The currency slipped 1.1 percent to 552.65 per U.S. dollar at 9:15
a.m. New York time, from 546.85 yesterday.

The central bank said in May and June that traders were overestimating
the future path of interest rates. Now it will offer banks six-month
loans that match the new overnight rate of 0.5 percent and cut sales
of its own debt to push yields lower.

“It is necessary to increase monetary stimulus,” the bank said in
yesterday’s statement. “The policy rate will be held at this minimum
level for a prolonged period of time.”

To access the entire article from Bloomberg please visit:
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601086&sid=alxLFHEdnThQ


Sent from my mobile device

Benito
International Trade Consultant
Mir Global Marketing LLC
http://www.mirglobalmarketing.com
http://www.chinasouthamerica.com

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