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Archive for the ‘Asia’ Category

Newswire: Jim Rogers

“I don’t see any adequate-supply situation in any commodity market over the next decade or two,” Rogers, the chairman of Singapore-based Rogers Holdings, said today in an interview in New York. “The commodities boom is not over and the bull market has several years to go.”

“I own some cotton,” Rogers said. “I own some sugar,” he said. “Sugar will go much, much higher over the course of the bull market.”

“Oil could reach between $150 and $200 a barrel,” because known reserves of crude are declining, Rogers said. He said international relations, particularly between the U.S. and Iran, will help guide prices.

“Natural gas is very cheap,” he said in the interview between sessions at an ETF Securities Ltd. investor conference.

Commodities ‘Best Place’

“Commodities are the best place to be, if you ask me, based on supply and demand,” Rogers said. He said he hasn’t invested in equities outside of China in two years.

“Everything has gone through the roof,” Rogers said of equities prices, adding that he may consider buying stocks “if something collapses.”

Click here to read the complete Bloomberg article

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commodities

China Nurtures Futures Markets in Bid to Sway Commodity Prices – WSJ

ZHENGZHOU, China — Chinese leaders are concerned that their nation’s enormous economic expansion is becoming an excuse for foreign suppliers to inflate commodity costs. So, they hope to use their three futures exchanges to fight back.

“It is true we have a long-term goal of increasing our influence in terms of pricing, but to do that we have to create conditions and do it step by step,” Jiang Yang, chief futures-industry policy maker and assistant chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, said in an interview. “But as the Westerners say: ‘Rome was not built in a day.’

But Beijing believes hosting big futures markets will enhance the country’s economic security by essentially advertising what the world’s biggest customer for some commodities considers a fair price. For the rest of the world, the exchanges could mean less guesswork about China’s buying habits, possibly reducing volatility in the global market.

Silver Lining: Jim Rogers Talks Up Commodities – Time Magazine

Jim Rogers’ daughters may not have been born with silver spoons in their mouths, but they’ve got them now. Not silver spoons, exactly, but silver bullion. “My little girls don’t own stocks — they own commodities,” he says, “and that’s why they’ll be able to take care of me in retirement.”

Rogers sees three big secular trends now, and he’s acting on all of them. First, America’s role as the dominant economic power is declining, so why own American stocks? (He doesn’t.) Second, China is emerging, and even though it may have crises from time to time, it is a good place to invest. (He does.) Third — and this is the biggie — emerging nations including China are greatly increasing the future demand for commodities such as oil. (He’s in with both feet.)

“Thirty years ago, 3 billion people were not even participating in the world economy, and now they are trying to live like we do,” he notes. That emerging megaforce, says Rogers, will put a supertight squeeze on commodity prices across the board, from beef to bullion.

Oil Climbs Above $73, Nat. Gas Rallies as Equities Fly High – Rigzone

Jumping toward $74 a barrel on an American holiday, crude oil rallied more than $1 from last week’s closing price, bolstered by a weaker dollar and a rise in the equities market. Also gaining today, natural gas closed 12 cents below $5 as the energy commodity continues to strengthen despite bearish fundamentals.

After rallying to an intra-day high of $73.84, the price of crude oil settled slightly lower to $73.27 on the NYMEX Monday, a gain of $1.50 from Friday’s close. Additionally, the US dollar eased against a basket of foreign currencies, helping to spur a rally in today’s commodity prices.

China Iron Ore Imports Exceed Real Demand, CISA Says – Bloomberg via Chinamining.org

Iron ore imports by China, the world’s largest buyer, have exceeded real demand by 50 million metric tons this year, the country’s steel association said.

China’s iron ore imports surged to a record this year, hurting the group’s bid to negotiate a contract price cut bigger than the 33 percent offered by Rio Tinto Group and BHP Billiton Ltd. The nation is looking at cutting the number of licensed importers, industry minister Li Yizhong reiterated today.

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Words of wisdom, as usual, from my man Jim Rogers.

“Protectionism is getting worse and worse. I’m terribly worried about because protectionism lead to the Great Depression… I’m worried about a lot of things. A 50% rise in 6-9 months is something to worry about. You usually have corrections after that.

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Yuan Inflows to Rise as Dollar Loses Luster, WisdomTree Says — Bloomberg

Sept. 15 (Bloomberg) — Investors are putting more money into the yuan
on bets China will allow appreciation in the exchange rate to make it
more accepted as an international currency, according to WisdomTree
Investments Inc.

A weak dollar, linked to concern about record amounts of debt in the
U.S., will drive more funds into China and emerging markets given
prospects growth rates will exceed those in developed countries, Bruce
Lavine, president of investment firm WisdomTree, said in an interview.

Lavine said in each of the last three months there was an inflow of
$25 million into his $142 million Chinese Yuan Exchange-Traded Fund,
which was started in May 2008 and invests mostly in yuan
non-deliverable forwards. ETFs are listed on an exchange where they
are bought and sold daily like stocks.

“Five years from now you will see a thoroughly different landscape in
terms of internationalization of the yuan,” said New York-based
Lavine, whose funds oversee $5.1 billion in assets. “When the dam
finally breaks, it happens faster than you think.”

To access the full article please visit —
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601110&sid=a7FkyJviwSqE


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1) Wen Signals Unprecedented Spending Will Drive Chinese Rebound – Bloomberg

China’s Premier Wen Jiabao signaled he will maintain unprecedented
government spending to drive a recovery from the slowest expansion in
almost a decade.

“China’s economic rebound is unstable, unbalanced and not yet solid,”
Wen said yesterday in a speech at the World Economic Forum in Dalian,
a city in northeastern China. “We cannot and will not change the
direction of our policies when the conditions aren’t appropriate.”

To read the full article please visit –
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601080&sid=aF3.IaUQ.JEo

2) Standard Bank Borrows $1 Billion From Chinese Banks

Standard Bank Group Ltd., Africa’s largest lender, said the $1 billion
loan facility it signed with four Chinese banks will be mainly used
for clients developing projects on the continent.

“The money will be used mainly to support our Africa business, for
clients wanting to do business in Africa and this would include
Chinese clients,” said Chief Executive Officer Jacko Maree, after
signing the five-year facility in Macau. It will be used mainly to
fund projects, he added.

To read the full article please visit –
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601116&sid=aLPkKY95BnaY

3) Mongolia Fund to Manage $30 Billion Mining Jackpot

The Mongolian government will set up a sovereign wealth fund using
mining royalties and tax revenue, and distribute part of the income to
citizens to alleviate poverty, said Finance Minister Sangajav
Bayartsogt.

The fund, to be run by professional managers from 2013, will disburse
part of its annual income to every Mongolian in cash or non-cash
securities to let them own stakes in the country’s mining wealth,
Bayartsogt said. Initial capital will be drawn from Ivanhoe Mines
Ltd.’s $4 billion Oyu Tolgoi copper- gold mine project, estimated to
generate $30 billion in tax revenue over 50 years, he said.

“We’re drafting the idea to implement the proposal, and we’re
studying examples like the Alaskan Permanent Fund,” Bayartsogt said in
a Sept. 9 interview in the capital Ulaanbaatar, declining to specify
the size of the proposed fund.

To read the full article please visit –
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601109&sid=aWm8u8kb0R5E


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BEIJING — World Bank President Robert Zoellick said he is talking to Chinese government officials about cooperating on investments in Africa, which he said could help boost the continent’s economic growth.

Mr. Zoellick told reporters Wednesday during a visit to the Chinese capital that China Investment Corp., the nation’s sovereign-wealth fund, has expressed interest in investing in the World Bank’s recently launched asset management company, which invests private-sector funds into places like sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America.

World Bank President Robert Zoellick
On Wed, stated he will press Group of 20
for more aid to developing countries [WSJ]

“CIC expressed interest in this as a commercial investment vehicle, but obviously there is no decision yet on their part,” Mr. Zoellick said. Other sovereign-wealth funds and pension funds are also interested in the new investment vehicle, he said, which manages some $4 billion in funds.

Click here to read J.R. Wu and Andrew Batson’s complete article at the WSJ

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“Chinese officials size up long-term potential in Sino-African
economic collaborations” —
[http://english.people.com.cn/90001/90778/90857/90861/6746690.html]

Although Sino-African trade had weakened during the global financial
crisis, Chinese and African enterprises could strengthen their
collaboration and emerge from the downturn together, Chinese trade
officials said at a trade fair Wednesday. Huang Xiwen, chief of Jilin
Province’s Commerce bureau, said at the 2009 China Africa Economic and
Trade Cooperation Seminar that local enterprises had been vigorously
developing business with African companies. He said 19 local companies
had invested ..

China and France seeking to develop bilateral ties —
[http://english.people.com.cn/90001/90776/90883/6746718.html]

“China and France seeking to develop bilateral ties”Vice Premier Wang
Qishan said Wednesday China had always valued its relationship with
France, and said he hoped the two countries could work together to
promote bilateral ties. Wang met Jean-David Levitte, a diplomatic
adviser to French President Nicolas Sarkozy Wednesday. Relations had
developed smoothly on the whole since the two countries forged
diplomatic ties 45 years ago, he said. Wang said he hoped the two
countries could handle the relationship from a strategic and long-term

“China, Laos vow to reinforce friendly ties” —
[http://english.people.com.cn/90001/90776/90883/6746699.html]

China and Laos reaffirmed their determination to further advance their
traditional friendly relations as senior leaders of the ruling parties
of the two countries met in Beijing Wednesday. He Guoqiang, member of
the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the Central
Committee of the Communist Party of China (CPC), met Sisavath
Keobounphanh, chairman of the Central Committee of the Lao Front for
National Reconstruction. Sisavath Keobounphanh, 81, has visited China
many times over t …

“Japan-China ties to be further promoted following DPJ takes reins:
senior DPJ official” —
[http://english.people.com.cn/90001/90776/90883/6746694.html]

The Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) Secretary General Katsuya Okada
said Wednesday that the DPJ will continue to advance Japan-China
relations after taking the reins of government. Okada made the remarks
at a symposium to mark the 60th anniversary of the founding of the
People’s Republic of China following the DPJ’s landslide victory over
the ruling Liberal Democratic Party in the lower house election
Sunday. “The DPJ has, as always, attached great importance to
Japan-China relations and …


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[Source] — MercroPress

On November 5, 2008, the Chinese government released a policy paper on Latin America and the Caribbean, as it had previously done so for Europe in 2003 and for Africa in 2006.

Although it may not come as a huge surprise that Latin America is the most recent region for which China has formally spelled out its foreign policy position, the region has been historically perceived as being under the United States’ sphere of influence. Perhaps the importance of the Chinese policy paper lies in the timing of its release. The release of the paper deliberately coincided with the unfolding of the current financial crisis; this congruence of events has allowed China to expand its influence in this somewhat neglected region without attracting any lasting venom from the U.S. China’s policy paper formally evidences the importance of Latin America and the Caribbean as part of China’s growth plan for its long-term strategic interests. Most of all, this includes access to raw materials as well as a plethora of natural resources, the infiltration of new foreign markets, the reduction of diplomatic support for the Republic of Taiwan, and the strengthening of Beijing political standing on the global stage through strong alliances cemented with the developing world.
The policy paper’s general context

The policy paper explicitly states its main objective is to “clarify the goals of China’s policy in this region, outline the guiding principles for future cooperation […] and sustain the sound, steady and all-around growth of China’s relations with Latin America and the Caribbean.” In the economic realm, China expresses an interest in investing in energy, mineral resources, forestry, fishing and agriculture, areas important to expanding China’s productivity. Additionally, the Chinese government seems to show interest in infrastructure projects not directly related to its economy, albeit essential in the transportation of natural resources, and proposes to fund these projects in order to be perceived as a partner in development. Furthermore, China expresses its desire to increase military diplomacy and sale of equipment to the region. Although many of the report’s statements are merely rhetoric and general in scope, the paper helps formalize China’s economic, diplomatic and military ties with Latin America, which were first proposed by then President of China Jiang Zemin in 2001.

The policy paper was released against the backdrop of the current financial crisis and the corresponding economic hardships that have severely hit the U.S. and Europe. Its publication deliberately coincided with the emergency G-20 meeting to discuss the economic crisis that was about to take place in Washington. More importantly, it preceded Chinese President Hu Jintao’s visit to Peru for the November 2008 Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit, at which he presented China’s foreign policy towards Latin America. This timing of the paper’s release was especially important for the countries seeking to diversify their export markets and decrease their dependence on declining Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) from the US and Europe. With the vast foreign reserves accumulated by China –which totalled US $1.95 trillion in December 2008– the region had valid reasons to closely follow the summit’s developments.

To access this article in full you must register for MecroPress’s website.

Once you register, click here for a direct link to this article

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Can anyone else catch that intense aroma of bootleg in the air? I don’t mean to point fingers at China because hey… all the major mobile company’s around the world have made Iphone / smart phones that are comparable to the Iphone.

These phones are China’s homegrown challenge to the Iphone which has finally reached a “non-exclusive” agreement with China Unicom, which will be the initial carrier Apple works with in the mainland.

Employees of China Mobile show off different designs of OPhone
handsets at the first-issuing ceremony in Beijing, China, August 31, 2009.
(Xinhua/Yuan Zhou)

(Xinhua/Yuan Zhou)

I say… Let the competition begin. I just wonder if something shady is going going on behind the scenes because China Mobile and China Unicom are more like reflections of one another in terms of their company structure and place in the Chinese economy. Yes, China Mobile is bigger and has far great market share, and yes both company’s have separate management and are traded on different tickers on various stock exchanges.

Nonetheless, the government has a heavy hand in both and I wonder how Apple is dealing. A friend of mine who is quite observant and logical once told me

“Government wants two big company’s to make illusion of real competition, but read story is two company’s mean more important jobs for people with connections and image of fair market.”

I personally own shares of China Unicom ADR here in the states. Meaning… despite what people tell me about the real situation with telecoms in China, officially, I buy into the hype.


China Unicom (CHU) –
Year to date performance Aug 31, 2009

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Aug. 31 (Bloomberg) — The Democratic Party of Japan swept to power
for the first time as the nation’s voters turned their backs on half a
century of single-party government that failed to reverse economic
stagnation and spiraling welfare costs.

The DPJ, led by 62-year-old Yukio Hatoyama, captured at least 306 of
480 lower-house seats, public broadcaster NHK said. Prime Minister
Taro Aso indicated he would resign as head of the Liberal Democratic
Party, which lost almost two-thirds of its lawmakers in a complete
reversal of the last election in 2005.

“This is a bloodless revolution, the first transfer of power from one
party to another in postwar Japan,” said Tomoaki Iwai, a political
science professor at Nihon University in Tokyo. “The DPJ now faces the
tough task of delivering on its promises and showing the Japanese
public it can change the system.”

Hatoyama, who quit the LDP in 1993, has pledged to revive an economy
emerging from its deepest recession since World War II by boosting
child-care spending, cutting taxes and curtailing the power of
bureaucrats. His grandfather founded the LDP in 1955 and became the
first of that party’s 22 prime ministers.

“This election has been all about changing the government,” Hatoyama
said in a nationally televised press conference. “Everything starts
now.”

To acess the full Bloomberg article please visit:
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aAQ0qltevVQI


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