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Archive for August, 2009

Can anyone else catch that intense aroma of bootleg in the air? I don’t mean to point fingers at China because hey… all the major mobile company’s around the world have made Iphone / smart phones that are comparable to the Iphone.

These phones are China’s homegrown challenge to the Iphone which has finally reached a “non-exclusive” agreement with China Unicom, which will be the initial carrier Apple works with in the mainland.

Employees of China Mobile show off different designs of OPhone
handsets at the first-issuing ceremony in Beijing, China, August 31, 2009.
(Xinhua/Yuan Zhou)

(Xinhua/Yuan Zhou)

I say… Let the competition begin. I just wonder if something shady is going going on behind the scenes because China Mobile and China Unicom are more like reflections of one another in terms of their company structure and place in the Chinese economy. Yes, China Mobile is bigger and has far great market share, and yes both company’s have separate management and are traded on different tickers on various stock exchanges.

Nonetheless, the government has a heavy hand in both and I wonder how Apple is dealing. A friend of mine who is quite observant and logical once told me

“Government wants two big company’s to make illusion of real competition, but read story is two company’s mean more important jobs for people with connections and image of fair market.”

I personally own shares of China Unicom ADR here in the states. Meaning… despite what people tell me about the real situation with telecoms in China, officially, I buy into the hype.


China Unicom (CHU) –
Year to date performance Aug 31, 2009

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Aug. 31 (Bloomberg) — The Democratic Party of Japan swept to power
for the first time as the nation’s voters turned their backs on half a
century of single-party government that failed to reverse economic
stagnation and spiraling welfare costs.

The DPJ, led by 62-year-old Yukio Hatoyama, captured at least 306 of
480 lower-house seats, public broadcaster NHK said. Prime Minister
Taro Aso indicated he would resign as head of the Liberal Democratic
Party, which lost almost two-thirds of its lawmakers in a complete
reversal of the last election in 2005.

“This is a bloodless revolution, the first transfer of power from one
party to another in postwar Japan,” said Tomoaki Iwai, a political
science professor at Nihon University in Tokyo. “The DPJ now faces the
tough task of delivering on its promises and showing the Japanese
public it can change the system.”

Hatoyama, who quit the LDP in 1993, has pledged to revive an economy
emerging from its deepest recession since World War II by boosting
child-care spending, cutting taxes and curtailing the power of
bureaucrats. His grandfather founded the LDP in 1955 and became the
first of that party’s 22 prime ministers.

“This election has been all about changing the government,” Hatoyama
said in a nationally televised press conference. “Everything starts
now.”

To acess the full Bloomberg article please visit:
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aAQ0qltevVQI


Sent from my mobile device

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Argentina’s stock exchange called on the government to lift capital controls that caused it to become the only major Latin America market classified as “frontier,” adding the move may help lure $10 billion in foreign investment.

A requirement for international investors to deposit 30 percent of what they put in Argentina with the central bank for a year “have stopped making sense,” Adelmo Gabbi, the Buenos Aires stock exchange’s chairman, said yesterday in a speech.

Capital controls prompted MSCI Inc. to remove Argentina from its benchmark emerging-market index in June, assigning it the so-called frontier status along with the world’s least developed markets. The controls have helped Argentina avoid volatility, said President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner.

Argentina’s stock exchange, Buenos Aires
Image courtesy of Business Week

“We have to seek a rule so that the inflow of funds won’t be speculative,” she said, without elaborating.

“The deposit requirement was imposed in 2005 and was one of the forces that allowed us to confront the brutal volatility of the markets during the crisis,” Fernandez responded yesterday in a speech at the Buenos Aires stock exchange.

Fernandez’s husband and predecessor Nestor Kirchner imposed deposit requirement in order to discourage speculators from investing in local markets after the country restructured about $104 billion in bonds…

Click here to access the full article from Bloomberg

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Xinhua news reports,

China has become a “privileged partner of Latin America,” and the region needs to define a joint strategy to develop its ties with China, an official of the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) said Wednesday.

The “post- (economic) crisis will find a bigger and more important China than the one it has been in the world economy,” said Osvaldo Rosales, ECLAC’s director for international trade and integration.

Citing the World Trade Organization’s report on Tuesday that China had displaced Germany in the first half of 2009 as a leading exporter, Rosales observed that “this has been reflected in its (China’s) growing relative presence in the world’s trade, mainly in Latin America.”

“The numbers of destinations and exporters show that China has become a privileged partner of Latin America,” Rosales told Xinhua in an interview.

This was because the Chinese government had “already defined the strategy for Latin America in its white book,” Rosales explained, adding that the region needed to do the same.

Regarding bilateral trade relations, Rosales worried about Latin America’s export structure, which focused on a few products and natural resources. He called for a diversification of the export basket.

“Latin America is in some ways linked with China, the world economy’s engine of the 21st century, but it is doing that with an export structure from the 20th century,” Rosales observed.

Click here to read the full story from Xinhua

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Chinese students in Australia are scared for their safety following a
string of disappearances and murders involving Asians in the country.
Jia Li, 29, a University of Sydney student, said young Chinese were
staying away from late-night events and avoiding walking alone. “I
don’t go out at night and ask friends to accompany me after night
courses. I avoid the back seats in buses. I tell my boyfriend before I
go somewhere and my classmates also tell friends about their
whereabouts …

Read the full story @
http://english.people.com.cn/90001/90776/90883/6740413.html


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Two articles grabbed my attention from Chinamining.org this morning. They both relate to the fact China’s ethnic regions also happen to be home to a great proportion of the countries commodity and energy wealth.

You can click on the titles of each respective article to access the stories in full from Chinamining.org.

–> Tibet has copper ore reserves of 30 mln t, half of China’s total

Southwest China’s Tibet Autonomous Region has geological copper ore reserves of more than 30 million tons, accounting for over a half of the country’s total, according to the region’s geological prospecting bureau.

The bureau director said that Tibet is the largest region in China by its copper resources reserves. By 2008, 329 copper ore deposits had been found in the region, including 11 large deposits and six mid-size ones. Its Qulong copper ore mine, the largest one in Asia, is estimated to possess copper reserves of more than 10 million tons.

Tibet – Potala Palace
[Photo I personally took
during a trip I made to
the region in December 2006,
Bennett A. Reiss]

–> 1st Kunming Mining & Cooperation Forum (Sept 2-4, 2009)

Entering the 21st century, the global mining industry is writing a new chapter. It is an era of resource economy. Mining market becomes more open and capitalized. Mineral exploring as well as financing becomes more diversified.

Yunnan is rich in natural resources, known as “the Kingdom of non-ferrous metals”. More than 150 kinds of minerals have been proved there, accounting for 92.6% of Chinese total. Among the proved 92 minerals, 9 of them have the largest reserves in China and 21 of them are listed within top three. Mining as one of the five pillar industries in Yunnan plays an important role in the development of the local economy.


Earlier this summer another ethnic region grabbed world headlines. Does the region of Xinjiang ring any bells? Xinjiang is home to a large number of China’s ethnic Muslims, is culturally quite similar to other republics in central Asia and is often referred to as East Turkestan. Xinjiang is also on track to become China’s most important oil and gas producing region.

This article, “Xinjiang’s oil and gas equivalent ranks first in China” is from little over a year ago (July 2008), asserts that Xinjiang has already passed Daqing (China’s other oil producing region) as the number region in oil and gas output.

As one hand seizes development, the other taps into the potential to allow Xinjiang’s oil output to soar. The latest statistics show that Xinjiang’s annual oil and gas equivalent output has already exceeded that in Daqing and ranks the first in the country.

The third national resources evaluation shows that: Xinjiang’s total oil and natural gas resource reserves exceeded 30 billion tons. Although it is rich in resources, Xinjiang still requires development and a reduction in consumption. Recently, Xinjiang has been producing 75,000 tons of crude oil daily, occupying 14.4 percent of the country’s daily crude oil output. In 2007, Xinjiang’s oil and gas equivalent reached 44.94 million tons, and ranked at the top.

In all likelihood, the development of commodity sectors in these regions will be controlled by Beijing…not locals. What industries can these regions develop as to diversify their economic development from commodity sector led growth?

Yunnan and Tibet have great potential for becoming tourist meccas in China. Yunnan, the less politically sensitive of the two, has already emerged as one of China’s most popular tourist destinations.

Furthermore, Yunnan’s strategic location in SE Asia put it in a good place to be at the center of the future growth of trade and exchange between China and the countries of Vietnam, Myanmar and Laos.

[Map courtesy of leafgovso.co.uk]

Tibetan tourism is growing as well, but remains inhibited by the sporadic changing of restrictions and the need to acquire a special internal visa or permission to visit.

When analyzing this situation from a the perspective of the people in the Chinese government determining domestic policy, China can not and will not simply let three of its most resource rich regions control the development their natural resource industries.

Sad as it may be for some members of the minority groups in these regions, one thing is sure–Xinjiang, Tibet and Yunnan are all going to remain integral pieces of China for a long time and be subject to increased inflows of ethnic Han Chinese seeking economic opportunities.

Let me clearly state, the opinions expressed in this analysis not reflect how I the author, (Bennett A. Reiss) feel on a personal level. Allow me to try to put things into perspective with two analogies which I feel help explain the Chinese point of view.

Canada is full of resources from top to bottom. I am by no means an expert, but I highly doubt the Eskimo and Native American populations have much say about development of Canadian mining and energy companies in their ancestral territories.

Likewise, a more mainstream analogy might be the US in Iraq. To the “logic” driven Chinese bureaucrat, China is far more justified in their domestic policy towards these resource rich regions than the United States is in Iraq. On the surface the US is subjugating a foreign population in a country half way across the globe from its own territory. China in its own official opinion is not subjecting anyone, and to further add to the Chinese argument, these regions have been a part of China for centuries if not thousands of years.

Even if your feelings on the war in Iraq produce other rationalizations for the US invasion (outside of oil), try to justify this to a country with over 1.4 billion people to feed and improve the lives of.

I welcome debate in this area to any readers who would like to discuss this topic further.

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Reuters Video:

Venezuela’s golfers react after Chavez says their sport is bourgeois and calls players lazy, as the government shuts down courses to build low-income housing.

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Sinopec’s (a.k.a China Petroleum & Chemical Corp.) net income rose at least tenfold to 22 billion yuan ($3.22 billion usd) in the second quarter according to this Bloomberg article.

The company has also announced it is planning a “rapid” overseas expansion in order to secure energy supply adequate to feed Chinese demand.

[Sinopec I passed on a bus ride to Shanxi, October – 2006]

The announcement, along with the company’s record gains in profit come as other global giants in the energy industry such as Royal Dutch Shell and Exxon Mobil have seen their earnings decline as prices plummeted and demand waned when the global slowdown ensued at the end of 2008.

According to Bloomberg, Sinopec supplies 80% of China’s fuel needs and is China’s largest refiner of crude oil. The company is looking for new foreign partners, expand its refining capacity and reduce operational costs. The company expects demand will remain strong in China and that oil prices will continue to rise throughout the second half of the year.

Here are a few highlights from the Bloomberg article, “Sinopec to Boost Expansion Abroad After Profit Surges to Record,” which you can access in full by clicking here.

“Sinopec’s main business is refining and it needs to increase its oil reserves and reduce its reliance on other oil producers,” said Larry Grace, an independent oil analyst based in Hong Kong. “There’s a government directive to increase overseas oil and gas assets.”

Sinopec gets almost all its revenue from refining and the sale and distribution of fuels. Oil production accounted for just over 2 percent of sales, according to its 2008 annual report. The company imports about 80 percent of the crude it processes.

Su said the company will accelerate its “go global” strategy.

Parent company China Petrochemical Corp. said on Aug. 18 it had concluded the C$8.3 billion ($7.7 billion) acquisition of Addax Petroleum Corp. to secure reserves in Iraq and Africa. China Petrochemical has assets in Russia, Angola, Ecuador, Australia, Canada, Kazakhstan and Myanmar.

Sinopec’s parent completed the purchase of Tanganyika Oil Co. for about $1.8 billion in December. Vancouver-based Tanganyika holds stakes in two Syrian production-sharing agreements covering the Oudeh and Tishrine/Sheikh Mansour blocks after expanding from Tanzania in 1996.


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[China – ASEAN] China to Boost Cooperation With Asean on InvestmentsBloomberg

China wants to boost cooperation with members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations to develop trade and increase investment, said Chinese Commerce Minister Chen Deming.

[ASEAN] – Five Asean Nations May Form Rice-Trade Body, Thai Official Says Bloomberg

Five Southeast Asian nations may set up a rice-trade association next year to cooperate in stabilizing rice prices, a Thai official said.

Thailand, Vietnam, Cambodia, Laos and Myanmar will also cooperate on other issues related to food security and production, said Chiya Yimvilai, a spokesman at a meeting of Asean economic ministers in Bangkok. The countries would also work together on developing rice products, he said.

[Venezuela – Russia] – PDVSA, Russian Group to Start $30 Billion Oil VentureBloomberg

Petroleos de Venezuela SA and a group of Russian oil companies plan to spend $30 billion on a joint venture in Venezuela’s Orinoco region.

The 40-year venture will seek to produce crude in the Junin 6 area and may expand to other Orinoco blocks, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Igor Sechin told reporters in St. Petersburg today after meeting with Venezuelan Vice President Ramon Carrizalez. Russian investors will include OAO Gazprom, OAO Rosneft, OAO Lukoil, TNK-BP and OAO Surgutneftegaz. The venture will be signed “in the coming months,” Sechin said.

[Mexico – Uruguay] – Mexico/Uruguay sign strategic association accord and advance tradeMecroPress

Mexico president Felipe Calderón and Uruguay’s Tabare Vazquez signed on Friday in Montevideo a Strategic Association accord to strengthen political dialogue and bilateral trade relations in the framework of the 2004 free trade agreement.

[Mexico – Colombia – Venezuela – Ecuador] Mexico offers to mediate between Colombia and Venezuela and EcuadorMecroPress
Mexican president Felipe Calderón on an official visit to Colombia offered his country’s mediation in the conflict between Bogotá and neighbouring Ecuador and Venezuela.

[Peru – Brazil] – Brazilian President to visit Peru to strengthen strategic allianceAndina
The next arrival to Lima of Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva will contribute to create a new strategic alliance to face Asian markets when signing several trade agreements, the President of Peru-Brazil Integration Chamber Miguel Vega Alvear.

“The arrival of Brazilian President will strengthen the progress achieved up to now in this Peru-Brazil strategic alliance and it will create a new stage in which both countries can face Asia-Pacific markets,”

a2a_linkname=”Newswire – South South Emerging Market Cooperation”;a2a_linkurl=”http://chinasouthamerica.blogspot.com/2009/08/newswire-south-south-emerging-market.html”;

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